Men's Soccer Bracketology

By Jared Verner published October 27, 2012

COLORADO SPRINGS, Colo. - With one game left in the regular season, is looking at all of the different scenarios for seeding in next week's RMAC Tournament. The University of Colorado Colorado Springs has already secured a spot in the tournament is in contention to host a first-round playoff game for the first time in program history.

Secured Seeds
Regis has already secured the RMAC regular season championship and the No. 1 seed in the tournament. The Rangers will host at least one semifinal game on Friday. Typically, the first seed would host both semifinal games and the final game on Sunday, but because Regis is also in contention to be the No. 1 seed on the women's side and the home facility doesn't have lights for night games, the RMAC will not permit the Rangers to host four games on one day without lights.

If Regis does become the top seed in both tournaments, the No. 2 would host its semifinal game, and then the highest remaining seed would host the championship game.

Colorado Mines secured the No. 2 seed on the men's side last night, and would host a semifinal game if Regis was the No. 1 seeds on both the men's and women's tournament.

Other Teams That Have Qualified
UCCS and Metro State are tied for third with 22 points, Colorado Mesa is a point behind in fifth, and Fort Lewis is sixth with 20 points. All four teams will be playing each other in the first round games on Wednesday, but the locations and pairings are still to be determined by Sunday's games.

Tiebreaker Procedure
The RMAC Code determines the procedure for breaking ties in the RMAC standings for purposes of seeding in the postseason tournament.
1. Head-to-head results
2. Goal different throughout the entire RMAC schedule, with a three-goal maximum limit
3. Head-to-head goal differential
4. Most goals scored throughout the entire RMAC schedule
5. Fewest goals allowed throughout the entire RMAC schedule
6. Approved Rating System for all Division II opponents
7. Overall win-loss percentage
8. Coin toss by the commissioner

Sunday's Schedule
Colorado Mesa at Colorado Mines
UCCS at Metro State
Regis at Fort Lewis
Colorado Christian at Adams State

Scenario 1: UCCS defeats Metro State
UCCS would secure the No. 3 seed and host the No. 6 seed on Wednesday at either 5 p.m. or 5:30 p.m., depending on if the Mountain Lion women also host a first round game. If Regis defeats Fort Lewis, then the Mountain Lions would host the Skyhawks in the first round.  If Fort Lewis defeats Regis, and Colorado Mines defeats Colorado Mesa, then it will be the Mavericks would travel to Colorado Springs. If Fort Lewis defeats Regis and Colorado Mesa defeats Colorado Mines, then it will be the Roadrunners and Mountain Lions meeting for the second time in four days on Wednesday night.

If Regis and Fort Lewis tie, and Colorado Mesa loses to Colorado Mines, it would create a tie for fifth in the RMAC standings between the Skyhawks and Mavericks. Because the two teams split during the regular season, the tiebreaker would go to the goal differential. Colorado Mesa has outscored conference opponents by six goals this season, compared to Fort Lewis being outscored by one goal. Because the differential can't be made up in the final game, Colorado Mesa would be the fifth seed and Fort Lewis would be the sixth seed and travel to Colorado Springs on Wednesday.

If Colorado Mesa and Colorado Mines tie, then Colorado Mesa and Metro State would tie for fourth in the standings. Because the two teams tied in their only meeting of the season, the goal differential would be the next tiebreaker. Going into Sunday's games, Colorado Mesa holds a goal differential of +6 and Metro State has a goal differential of +7.

Because this scenario has Metro State losing to UCCS and Colorado Mesa tying Colorado Mines, the Colorado Mesa differential would remain the same while Metro State's differential would go down. If UCCS defeated Metro State by one goal, it would create a tie in the differential, and if UCCS defeated Metro State by two goals or more, it would provide Colorado Mesa with the fourth seed in the tournament.

If it is a one-goal victory for UCCS on Sunday against Metro State, the next tiebreaker is the head-to-head goal differential between Metro State and Colorado Mesa. Because the teams tied, the next tiebreaker for the teams is goals scored during the RMAC schedule. Metro State would most likely hold the tiebreaker (unless the Colorado Mesa-Colorado Mines score reaches double digit goals for both teams), and gain the fourth seed in the tournament.

Scenario 2: UCCS ties Metro State
In the event of a tie with the Roadrunners, Metro State would secure the higher seed because of a better head-to-head record. If any of the teams behind UCCS won on Sunday (Colorado Mesa defeats Colorado Mines or Fort Lewis defeats Regis), then UCCS would travel for Wednesday's game.

If both Colorado Mesa and Fort Lewis win, then the Mountain Lions would be the sixth seed and travel back to Metro State on Wednesday. If only one of the teams win, then that team would be the fourth seed and UCCS would be the fifth seed and travel to the fourth seed location (either Colorado Mesa or Fort Lewis).

If Fort Lewis ties with Regis and Colorado Mesa loses to Colorado Mines and creates a tie for fifth, Colorado Mesa would hold the tiebreaker due to a +6 goal differential going into Sunday's games compared to Fort Lewis' -1, which could not be made up on Sunday. UCCS would be the fourth seed and host Colorado Mesa on Wednesday.

Scenario 3: UCCS loses to Metro State
Metro State would secure the third seed, leaving three teams battling for the fourth seed on Sunday. If Colorado Mesa and Fort Lewis both lose their games on Sunday, then UCCS would be the fourth seed and host Colorado Mesa on Wednesday. If one of the teams win, that team will be the fourth seed and UCCS would travel to that site (either Colorado Mesa or Fort Lewis). If both teams win, then UCCS will be the sixth seed and travel to Metro State.

When We'll Know
The RMAC will release the official bracket early Sunday evening after the final games conclude at approximately 5:30 p.m. Make sure to follow the Mountain Lion media outlets for the times, locations and opponents.

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