RMAC Shootout Bracketology

By Jared Verner published February 27, 2013

COLORADO SPRINGS, Colo. - The University of Colorado Colorado Springs women's basketball team is in position to host its first postseason game in more than 10 years, but the Mountain Lions are one of four teams vying for the final three hosting spots in next week's 2013 RMAC Shootout.

The UCCS Sports Information Office broke down the various tiebreakers and where the Mountain Lions would fall, based on a variety of different scenarios that could play out across the conference this weekend.

The basic information
UCCS is in a three-way tie with Metro State and Fort Lewis for second in the RMAC standings, and CSU-Pueblo is a game behind the three times in fifth place. UCCS and CSU-Pueblo travel to play Regis and Metro State this weekend while Fort Lewis travels for games at Western State and Colorado Mesa.

The Mountain Lions have already guaranteed a spot in the RMAC Shootout for the second straight season. If UCCS were to host a game at the Gallogly Events Center, the contest would start at 7 p.m., on Tuesday, March 5.

The tiebreaker system:
The RMAC uses a combination of head-to-head results and an approved rating system to break ties for Shootout seeding. The system goes in the following order:
1.    Conference record
2.    Head-to-head if the teams played twice
3.    Approved rating system applied to conference games
4.    Head-to-head if the teams played once
5.    Approved rating system applied to Division II nonconference games
6.    Coin flip
In the event of a multiple-team tie, the approved rating system will be the first criteria used

The approved rating system scoring:
The approved rating system assigns points to each game based on whether the team won or lost, played at home or on the road, and the record of the opponent at the end of the season. The points are assigned in the following order:
-7 points for a win against a team with a record of .750 or better on the road
-6 points for a win against a team with a record of .500 or better on the road or .750 or better at home
-5 points for a win against a team with a record of .250 or better on the road or .500 or better at home
-4 points for a win against a team with a record of .250 or worse on the road or .250 or better at home
-3 points for a win against a team with a record of .250 or worse at home or a loss to a team with a record of .750 or better (home or away)
-2 points for a loss to a team with a record of .500 or better (home or away)
-1 point for a loss to a team with a record .250 or better (home or away)
-0 points for a loss to a team with a record of .250 or worse (home or away)

Black Hills State / Chadron State Impact
The Yellow Jackets and Eagles play in Spearfish, S.D., on Saturday. A win for either team would push them above either .500 (for Black Hills State) or above .250 (for Chadron State). This impacts UCCS, Metro State and CSU-Pueblo equally because all three teams played both teams twice, and so all three teams will gain two additional points in the approved rating system. Fort Lewis only played the Eagles and Yellow Jackets once, meaning that the Skyhawks will only gain one additional point.

All of the points provided for the approved rating system below have accounted for this fact.

Approved Rating System document for games played to this point (.pdf)

Scenario 1: UCCS goes 2-0
Scenario 1a: UCCS goes 2-0, FLC goes 2-0
UCCS will be the No. 2 seed and Fort Lewis will be the No. 3 seed. Both teams would finish with the same 17-5 record, but UCCS would hold an advantage of 90-89 points in the approved rating system.

Scenario 1b: UCCS goes 2-0, FLC goes 1-1 or 0-2
UCCS will be the No. 2 seed because of a better conference record of 17-5.    

Scenario 2: UCCS goes 1-1
Scenario 2a: UCCS goes 1-1 with a win against Regis, Fort Lewis goes 1-1 with a win against Western State or Colorado Mesa, Metro State goes 1-1 with a win against UCCS and CSU-Pueblo goes 2-0
Metro State would be the No. 2 seed, CSU-Pueblo would be the No. 3 seed, UCCS would be the No. 4 seed and Fort Lewis would be the No. 5 seed. Because all four teams would be tied at 16-6, the approved rating system would be used to break the tie. Metro State has 87 points, CSU-Pueblo and UCCS both have 84 points and Fort Lewis has 83 points. Because UCCS and CSU-Pueblo are still tied, the approved rating system would be applied to the non-conference schedule, where the ThunderWolves have an 18-6 advantage.

Scenario 2b: UCCS goes 1-1 with a win against Regis, Fort Lewis goes 1-1 with a win against Western State or Colorado Mesa, Metro State goes 2-0
Metro State would be the No. 2 seed, UCCS would be the No. 3 seed, Fort Lewis would be the No. 4 seed and CSU-Pueblo would be the No. 5 seed. The No. 2 (Metro State) and No. 5 (CSU-Pueblo) seeds will be determined by the overall conference record. UCCS would have the No. 3 seed and Fort Lewis would be the No. 4 seed because of a 90-89 advantage for the Mountain Lions in the approved rating system.

Scenario 2c: UCCS goes 1-1 with a win against Regis, Fort Lewis goes 2-0, Metro State goes 1-1 with a win against UCCS and CSU-Pueblo goes 2-0
Fort Lewis would be the No. 2 seed because of the best conference record (17-5) among the four teams. The three remaining teams would be tied, and the approved rating system would be used to break multiple-team ties. Metro State would be the No. 3 seed with 89 points. UCCS and CSU-Pueblo both have 86 points in the conference approved rating system, but CSU-Pueblo would have the No. 4 seed and UCCS would have the No. 5 seed because of an 18-6 advantage in the non-conference approved rating system.

Scenario 2d: UCCS goes 1-1 with a win against Regis, Fort Lewis goes 2-0, Metro State goes 1-1 with a win against UCCS, and CSU-Pueblo goes 1-1 with a win against Metro State
Fort Lewis would be the No. 2 seed with a 17-5 conference record. Metro State would be the No. 3 seed because of a sweep in the season series against UCCS, who would be the No. 4 seed. CSU-Pueblo  would be the No. 5 seed with a 15-7 record.

Scenario 2e: UCCS goes 1-1 with a win against Metro State, Fort Lewis goes 1-1 with a win against Western State or Colorado Mesa, Metro State goes 0-2 and CSU-Pueblo goes 2-0
UCCS, Fort Lewis and CSU-Pueblo would be tied with a 16-6 record, and Metro State would be the fifth seed at 15-7. Among the three tied teams, the approved rating system would be No. 2 seed CSU-Pueblo (with 84 points and 18 non-conference points), No. 3 seed UCCS (with 84 points and 6 non-conference points) and No. 5 seed Fort Lewis (with 82 points).

Scenario 2f: UCCS goes 1-1 with a win against Metro State, Fort Lewis goes 1-1 with a win against Western State, Metro State goes 0-2 and CSU-Pueblo goes 1-1 with a win against Metro State
UCCS and Fort Lewis would tie with a 16-6 record, and the Mountain Lions would be the No. 2 seed because of the advantage in the conference scoring for the rating system (84-83). CSU-Pueblo and Metro State would tie with a 15-7 record, and Metro State would be the No. 4 seed and CSU-Pueblo would be the No. 5 seed because of an 84-80 advantage in the approved rating system.

Scenario 3: UCCS goes 0-2
Scenario 3a: UCCS goes 0-2, Fort Lewis goes 0-2, Metro State goes 1-1 with a win against UCCS, and CSU-Pueblo goes 2-0
Metro State and CSU-Pueblo would tie with 16-6 in the standings, and Fort Lewis and UCCS would tie with 15-7 in the standings. Metro State would be the No. 2 seed and CSU-Pueblo would be the No. 3 seed because of an 87-84 advantage in the approved rating system. UCCS would be the No. 4 seed and Fort Lewis would be the No. 5 seed because of a 90-89 advantage in the approved rating system.

Scenario 3b: UCCS goes 0-2, Fort Lewis goes 1-1 with a win at Western State or Colorado Mesa, Metro State goes 1-1 with a win against UCCS, and CSU-Pueblo goes 2-0
Metro State, CSU-Pueblo and Fort Lewis would each tie with a 16-6 record, and UCCS would be the fifth seed with a 15-7 record. Metro State would be the No. 2 seed with 87 points, CSU-Pueblo would be the No. 3 seed with 84 points and Fort Lewis would be the No. 4 seed with 83 points.

Scenario 3c: UCCS goes 0-2, Fort Lewis goes 2-0, Metro State goes 1-1 with a win against UCCS, and CSU-Pueblo goes 2-0
Fort Lewis would be the No. 2 seed with a 17-5 record. Metro State and CSU-Pueblo would be tied at 16-6, but the Roadrunners would be the No. 3 seed with 89 points and CSU-Pueblo would be the No. 4 seed with 87 points. UCCS would be the No. 5 seed.

Scenario 3d: UCCS goes 0-2, Fort Lewis goes 1-1 with a win at Western State or Colorado Mesa, Metro State goes 1-1 with a win against UCCS, and CSU-Pueblo goes 1-1 with a win at Metro State
Metro State and Fort Lewis would be tied with a 16-6 record, but Metro State would be the No. 2 seed because of an 89-83 advantage in the approved rating system. UCCS and CSU-Pueblo would be tied with a 15-7 record, but CSU-Pueblo would be the No. 4 seed and UCCS would be a No. 5 seed based on an approved rating system of 83-80.

Scenario 3e: UCCS goes 0-2, Fort Lewis goes 1-1 with a win at Western State or Colorado Mesa, Metro State goes 2-0 and CSU-Pueblo goes 1-1 with a win at Regis.
Metro State would be the No. 2 seed with a 17-5 record, Fort Lewis would be the No. 3 seed with a 16-6 record, and UCCS and CSU-Pueblo would be tied with a 15-7 record. CSU-Pueblo would be the No. 4 seed and UCCS would be the No. 5 seed, because the two teams are tied with the conference approved rating system of 80-80 and the ThunderWolves hold an advantage in the non-conference approved rating system at 18-6.

No. 6/7 seeds
Colorado Christian and Colorado Mines are tied for sixth in the conference standings at 12-9. The teams play each other on Saturday night, which means the winner of that game will be the sixth seed and the loser will be the seventh seed.

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